According to @santimentfeed, the FOMC cut US interest rates by 25 bps for the third consecutive meeting, triggering initial retail gains in crypto before a sharp reversal as euphoria and FOMO led to losses for late buyers (source: Santiment post on X, Dec 11, 2025; Santiment Insights). Santiment’s analysis frames this sequence as a cautionary setup for traders around policy headlines, highlighting whipsaw risk and the danger of chasing post-announcement pumps in the crypto market (source: Santiment post on X, Dec 11, 2025; Santiment Insights).

According to @AltcoinDaily, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Dec 10, 2025 (source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025). A 25-basis-point move equals 0.25 percentage points, and policy rate adjustments transmit to markets by lowering short-term yields and easing financial conditions, key drivers traders track via DXY, U.S. 2-year Treasury yields, and real rates (sources: U.S. SEC Investor.gov; Federal Reserve Board, Monetary Policy Transmission). Historical analyses show crypto’s correlation with equities increases during easier financial conditions, making BTC and ETH sensitive to liquidity shifts after rate cuts (source: International Monetary Fund, 2022 analysis on crypto–stock correlation).

According to @AltcoinDaily, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 bps, signaling an easier policy stance that can shift liquidity and risk appetite across crypto markets, especially BTC and ETH (source: @AltcoinDaily on Twitter, Dec 10, 2025). Traders should focus on the FOMC statement and projections to gauge the forward path that drives USD, front-end yields, and crypto volatility; watch DXY, U.S. 2y/10y Treasury yields, BTC spot-futures basis, and funding rates for transmission of the policy move into price action (sources: Federal Reserve Board FOMC Statements and Summary of Economic Projections; Federal Reserve H.15; ICE U.S. Dollar Index; CME Bitcoin Futures data).

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 bps, a move framed as long-term bullish for markets. source: @BullTheoryio on X Traders should confirm the final target range and statement language via the Federal Reserve FOMC release before positioning. source: Federal Reserve Board FOMC communications Lower policy rates reduce short-term funding costs and ease financial conditions, dynamics that have historically supported risk assets including BTC and ETH during easing cycles. source: Federal Reserve Board Monetary Policy resources; Kaiko research on crypto sensitivity to yields Key crypto signals to monitor after a reported cut: US 2-year Treasury yields and DXY trending lower, S&P 500 futures strength, and widening BTC and ETH futures basis and positive perp funding. source: TradingView market data; CME futures data; Deribit futures term structure; major exchange funding rate pages Risk management note: price action around the FOMC statement and chair remarks can be volatile; confirm timing and guidance tone before executing any strategy. source: Federal Reserve press conference schedule; Kaiko market microstructure notes on FOMC days

According to Charlie Bilello, the Federal Reserve has cut the federal funds target range by 25 bps to 3.50–3.75%, citing labor market weakness while noting inflation has run at roughly twice the 2% target over the past six years (source: Charlie Bilello on X). This report is not yet confirmed; official FOMC decisions must be verified against the post-meeting statement and target range published by the Federal Reserve (source: Federal Reserve). If confirmed, a 25 bps cut would lower the policy rate anchor for front-end Treasury yields, potentially easing financial conditions that influence USD liquidity and risk sentiment in crypto, warranting close monitoring of BTC and ETH around policy headlines (source: Federal Reserve).

According to @simplykashif, Polymarket markets are pricing a 93% probability of a 25 bps Federal Reserve rate cut, signaling a strong dovish consensus among traders, according to Polymarket. Historically, Bitcoin (BTC) has moved more in sync with U.S. equities since 2020, indicating heightened sensitivity to monetary conditions, according to International Monetary Fund research from 2022 on crypto–stock co-movements. Lower policy rates are associated with declining yields and a softer U.S. dollar, which have historically supported risk assets including BTC and ETH, according to Federal Reserve explanations of monetary policy transmission and Kaiko Research (2023) analysis on BTC sensitivity to real yields.

According to Charlie Bilello, Core PCE inflation registered 2.8% year over year in September, remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target (source: Charlie Bilello, Dec 5, 2025). Bilello also notes that this 2.8% reading is higher than any point between July 1993 and March 2021, underscoring persistent inflation pressure versus the target (source: Charlie Bilello, Dec 5, 2025). Despite this, Bilello reports that markets are pricing another 25 basis point rate cut next week, setting up a key macro catalyst for rate-sensitive assets (source: Charlie Bilello, Dec 5, 2025). For trading, monitor how this policy path repricing impacts Treasury yields, the US dollar, and liquidity conditions that crypto traders track, with attention to BTC and ETH positioning and implied volatility into the decision window (source: Charlie Bilello, Dec 5, 2025).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi’s prediction market is pricing roughly a 75% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut the fed funds rate by 25 basis points next month, with the December FOMC statement scheduled for Wednesday, December 10 at 2 PM ET; Source: @StockMKTNewz citing Kalshi. A 25 bp cut would lower the target range by 0.25 percentage points, which historically aligns with easier financial conditions through lower front-end yields; Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System policy implementation framework. For trading, watch DXY, 2-year Treasury yields, and BTC and ETH volatility around the 2 PM ET release as deviations from market-implied odds can trigger sharp moves in risk assets; Source: Federal Reserve release timing and Kalshi-implied probabilities reported by @StockMKTNewz.

According to @StockMarketNerd, a 50 bps rate cut would signal Federal Reserve panic and heighten market anxiety, making a smaller 25 bps cut the preferable outcome for stability, as stated on X on Nov 10, 2025 (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025). For trading, this view points to risk-off reactions if a 50 bps cut arrives as a surprise and relatively steadier pricing around a 25 bps move, with potential spillover to BTC and ETH given their increased correlation with equities documented by the IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022 (sources: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025; IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022).

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 basis points and the move is framed as long-term bullish for markets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio on X on Oct 29, 2025. For trading, confirm the decision via the Federal Reserve’s official statement and press conference before positioning, then monitor BTC and ETH for potential risk-on follow-through tied to easier policy, source: @BullTheoryio on X and Federal Reserve Board official communications.

According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing a 97.8% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at this Wednesday's FOMC decision; source: CME Group FedWatch Tool. According to the Federal Reserve's published meeting schedule, the policy statement and press conference are set for Wednesday, a timing that typically concentrates event risk for rate-sensitive assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to the Federal Reserve's policy implementation framework, a 25 bps cut reduces the target federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points, filtering through to short-term funding costs that traders monitor for positioning across risk assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to CME Group product documentation, BTC and ETH futures and options offer liquidity to hedge and express views around macro policy outcomes, making FOMC days focal for crypto derivatives activity; source: CME Group. According to ICE's U.S. Dollar Index methodology, DXY is a key USD benchmark that traders reference when valuing BTC/USD and ETH/USD during rate decisions, linking policy moves to crypto-dollar pair pricing; source: ICE

According to @ReutersBiz, the US Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, and the following day Wall Street’s main indexes closed at record highs (Source: @ReutersBiz, Sep 19, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, markets are positioned for a weaker US Dollar, lower interest rates, and a potential top in gold into this week’s decision, highlighting a buy the rumor, sell the news gold rally setup. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025. He notes he will watch gold’s post-announcement reaction on Wednesday to validate whether the rally fades after the event. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025. He adds that a 25 bps Fed rate cut would be a positive signal, while a 50 bps cut would be even better in his view. Source: Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) on X, Sep 15, 2025.

According to @rovercrc, current market odds show a 93.4% probability of a 25 bps rate cut and a 6.6% probability of a 50 bps cut, source: @rovercrc. @rovercrc states that markets will explode, signaling traders to prepare for heightened volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, source: @rovercrc. For short-term positioning, this skew in expectations supports volatility-focused setups around the decision window, source: @rovercrc.

According to @KobeissiLetter, headline inflation is cold, core inflation is hot, and month-over-month inflation came in as expected based on the latest print. @KobeissiLetter expects a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September, noting the Federal Reserve may point to a weaker labor market despite hotter inflation. @KobeissiLetter also highlights that all eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, signaling event risk around his remarks for rate expectations and market positioning.